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Margins of Win/Loss

PostPosted: January 10th, 2012, 10:08 pm
by pafan
As of games played Jan 10th:

Overall average margin in conference games: 10.6 points.

By team, margins of victory only. Best and worst numbers highlighted.

Bradley - N/A
Creighton - 9
Drake - 8
Evansville - 14.5
Illinois St. - 4.6
Indiana St. - 6.5
Missouri St - 10.3
Northern Iowa - 16
Southern Illinois - 12
Wichita St. - 13.3


By team, margins of loss only
Bradley - 15.2
Creighton - 12
Drake - 14.3
Evansville - 1.7
Illinois St. - 9
Indiana St. - 12.7
Missouri St. - 8
Northern Iowa - 6
Southern Illinois - 13.3
Wichita St. - 7


By team, total margins
Bradley - (-15.2)
Creighton - 4.8
Drake - (-4)
Evansville - 4.8
Illinois St. - (-0.8)
Indiana St. - (-5)
Missouri St. - 6.6
Northern Iowa - 2.8
Southern Illinois - (-3.2)
Wichita St. - 9.2

Re: Margins of Win/Loss

PostPosted: January 12th, 2012, 9:06 am
by squirrel
I like to look at it in terms of adjusted efficiency (Pyth*Points Per 100 possessions).

AdjOE
1. CU 116.6
2. WSU 111.6
3. MSU 107.6
4. IlSU 107.2
5. UE 107.1
6. UNI 107.0
7. DU 101.3
8. InSU 99.0
9. SIU 98.1
10. BU 98.0

AdjDE
1. WSU 90.2
2. UNI 92.2
3. MSU 94.8
4. InSU 95.5
5. IlSU 96.4
6. CU 98.7
7. SIU 100.0
8. DU 101.5
9. UE 103.7
10. BU 104.0

AdjMargin (+/-)
1. WSU +21.4
2. CU +17.9
3. UNI +14.8
4. MSU +12.8
5. IlSU +10.8
6. InSU +3.5
7. UE +3.4
8. DU -0.2
9. SIU -1.9
10. BU -6.0

Re: Margins of Win/Loss

PostPosted: January 12th, 2012, 10:03 am
by achrist70
So basically UNI either loses painfully close, or wins by a hefty margin.

Re: Margins of Win/Loss

PostPosted: January 12th, 2012, 8:16 pm
by PantherSigEp
achrist70 wrote:So basically UNI either loses painfully close, or wins by a hefty margin.


No, I would say that's Evansville. From the OP they're avg. loss is by less than 2 points but avg. win by almost 15. I still think that team is going to finish high if they can develop a little more outside of Colt Ryan.

UNI has lost by some big margins this year (SMC, Ohio, UE). CU being the only real "painfully close" one.

That's my interpretation at least

Re: Margins of Win/Loss

PostPosted: January 12th, 2012, 8:21 pm
by pafan
PantherSigEp wrote:UNI has lost by some big margins this year (SMC, Ohio, UE). CU being the only real "painfully close" one.

Just to be clear, the numbers are only for the first five MVC games, so St. Mary's wouldn't be included.

Re: Margins of Win/Loss

PostPosted: January 12th, 2012, 9:13 pm
by PantherSigEp
pafan wrote:
PantherSigEp wrote:UNI has lost by some big margins this year (SMC, Ohio, UE). CU being the only real "painfully close" one.

Just to be clear, the numbers are only for the first five MVC games, so St. Mary's wouldn't be included.


Ahhh I see that now. I would still say my point holds true in regards to Evansville being the unlucky ones so far

Re: Margins of Win/Loss

PostPosted: January 12th, 2012, 10:21 pm
by valleychamp
Thought this was interesting, from WCFcourier:
Collectively, Valley teams are averaging more than 70 points per game since the season began. That's up nearly five points from the average a year ago.

Through Tuesday's games, MVC teams are scoring 70.28 points per contest. Over the last 10 seasons, the average has never been higher. During the weekly coaches' teleconference Tuesday, the league coaches responded with a resounding reason for the change: talent.

Read More: http://wcfcourier.com/sports/college/un ... z1jJCdRxEA