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With WSU losing again today I'm not sure we have an at large team.

bigdawg wrote:With WSU losing again today I'm not sure we have an at large team.

If UNI, can knock off ISU tonight along with their win against UNC, they'll have a pretty good argument.

Not looking real good right now. UNI and WSU probably have the best shot but it's less than 50/50.

With a KenPom of 35, an RPI of 48, and a SOS of 5, WSU is as good as dead.

Championz wrote:With a KenPom of 35, an RPI of 48, and a SOS of 5, WSU is as good as dead.

Sarcasm noted but we sure don't have much room for error. A couple weeks of bad MVC losses would be devastating.

In a word: yes.

I think some people don't realize how statistically awful the MVC is this year. There are more teams over 200 RPI (4) than under 100 (3). I put the odds of an at-large at less than 10%.

Last year the Mtn West was the 13th rated conference. (Where MVC is this year.) Boise St. was the last at large based on a 23-8 season with 4 wins over the top 50. UNI is the only potential team that could hit 4 wins and that's if they sweep Wichita and beat Iowa St.

Keep in mind Colorado St. was left out last year despite a 26-6 record & an RPI around 40 because they only had 5 top 100 wins. The only way one of the top 3 gets to 5 wins is if they sweep the other 2. I just don't see that happening.

After WSU finishes #9 in the MVC, their season will be over.

Big win by UNI tonight over #5 Iowa St. They have two really good wins now over #1 and #5

ShockValue wrote:Sarcasm noted but we sure don't have much room for error. A couple weeks of bad MVC losses would be devastating.

Just a couple of bad losses ...
Using RPIWizard, I gave WSU a loss at UNI, at Evansville, at Loyola and vs. Drake. That generated an RPI of 57, probably out of the at-large discussion.

But maybe Drake can still prove us wrong, not be a bad loss, and finally avoid Drake Night???

UNI loses to Hawaii and BYU. The margin of error which was razor thin is probably gone now.