Arch madness seeding

Discuss the MVC hoops season here.

Re: Arch madness seeding

Postby TheAsianSensation » February 13th, 2017, 11:28 am

squirrel wrote:Back in the '90's, when both ISU and Bradley were good, both sides generally rooted for the other, unless they played each other. And one of the things that is unique to the Valley, is that generally we all support our league reps in the postseason, regardless of how much we despise them in league :)

speak for yourself bub
http://bracketball.blogspot.com/ A national version of the world-famous TAS Bracketology. Spread the word
TheAsianSensation
MVCfans.com
MVCfans.com
 
Posts: 1175
Joined: April 6th, 2012, 7:23 am

Re: Arch madness seeding

Sponsor

Sponsor
 

Re: Arch madness seeding

Postby Hacksaw » February 13th, 2017, 11:39 am

The final 1M+ probabilities (unweighted):

Image
Hacksaw
MVC Valued Member
MVC Valued Member
 
Posts: 166
Joined: August 10th, 2010, 9:47 am

Re: Arch madness seeding

Postby Hacksaw » February 13th, 2017, 11:39 am

Weighted probabilities:

Image
Hacksaw
MVC Valued Member
MVC Valued Member
 
Posts: 166
Joined: August 10th, 2010, 9:47 am

Re: Arch madness seeding

Postby Stickboy46 » February 13th, 2017, 12:10 pm

Thanks Hacksaw. I'm sure that's not easy to put together but it's sure fun to watch and keep track of.
Stickboy46
All MVC
All MVC
 
Posts: 710
Joined: April 21st, 2015, 9:24 am

Re: Arch madness seeding

Postby Redbirds4Life » February 13th, 2017, 12:59 pm

Stickboy46 wrote:Thanks Hacksaw. I'm sure that's not easy to put together but it's sure fun to watch and keep track of.


Agreed, that spread is awesome. Great work
Redbirds4Life
MVC starter
MVC starter
 
Posts: 237
Joined: January 20th, 2017, 2:02 pm

Re: Arch madness seeding

Postby BuBrave2006 » February 13th, 2017, 1:03 pm

Hacksaw, where do you get the percentages to win each game for the weighted probabilities. I find it odd that Bradley is only 40% to beat Evansville at home. I would think that would be higher.
BuBrave2006
All MVC
All MVC
 
Posts: 514
Joined: February 9th, 2015, 2:52 pm

Re: Arch madness seeding

Postby Stickboy46 » February 13th, 2017, 1:04 pm

BuBrave2006 wrote:Hacksaw, where do you get the percentages to win each game for the weighted probabilities. I find it odd that Bradley is only 40% to beat Evansville at home. I would think that would be higher.


I believe he has said before that its using the Sagarin predictor.
Stickboy46
All MVC
All MVC
 
Posts: 710
Joined: April 21st, 2015, 9:24 am

Re: Arch madness seeding

Postby TheObserver » February 13th, 2017, 1:54 pm

BuBrave2006 wrote:Hacksaw, where do you get the percentages to win each game for the weighted probabilities. I find it odd that Bradley is only 40% to beat Evansville at home. I would think that would be higher.


Given Bradley's and Evansville's play of late, I think that's pretty fair honestly.
TheObserver
MVC starter
MVC starter
 
Posts: 297
Joined: January 19th, 2017, 8:34 pm

Re: Arch madness seeding

Postby Cdizzle » February 13th, 2017, 2:12 pm

TheObserver wrote:
BuBrave2006 wrote:Hacksaw, where do you get the percentages to win each game for the weighted probabilities. I find it odd that Bradley is only 40% to beat Evansville at home. I would think that would be higher.


Given Bradley's and Evansville's play of late, I think that's pretty fair honestly.

I think the only thing fair about that game would be a refund.
Cdizzle
MVC Hall Of Famer
MVC Hall Of Famer
 
Posts: 2188
Joined: November 11th, 2010, 11:28 am

Re: Arch madness seeding

Postby MVCfans » February 13th, 2017, 2:22 pm

Stickboy46 wrote:
BuBrave2006 wrote:Hacksaw, where do you get the percentages to win each game for the weighted probabilities. I find it odd that Bradley is only 40% to beat Evansville at home. I would think that would be higher.


I believe he has said before that its using the Sagarin predictor.


You can read here for an explanation: The MVC Report - thanks again to Matt for doing this.
User avatar
MVCfans
MVCfans.com
MVCfans.com
 
Posts: 3689
Joined: August 3rd, 2010, 9:09 pm

PreviousNext

Return to Missouri Valley Conference Basketball

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 209 guests