Re: Arch madness seeding
Posted:
February 19th, 2017, 8:07 pmby Stickboy46
Rollbird5 wrote:For those that know this stuff better than me, if both wsu and isu win out can wsu rpi pass up isu? Creeping closer
Barring an epic collapse by ISUs non con and WSUs non con winning out... I don't think it's possible
Re: Arch madness seeding
Posted:
February 19th, 2017, 8:19 pmby Rollbird5
Thanks Wufan and Stickboy. Now hopefully we can win out so the tiebreaker comes into play
Re: Arch madness seeding
Posted:
February 19th, 2017, 8:50 pmby Stickboy46
Rollbird5 wrote:Thanks Wufan and Stickboy. Now hopefully we can win out so the tiebreaker comes into play
You have a good chance if MM is ok.
Re: Arch madness seeding
Posted:
February 20th, 2017, 8:27 amby hot nuts
The birds seem extremely vulnerable right now. I almost expect them to lose one of these last two.
Re: Arch madness seeding
Posted:
February 20th, 2017, 8:29 amby chitown fanatic
eagerly awaiting the hacksaw update. the only sure thing in st Louis is no play in teams will win
Re: Arch madness seeding
Posted:
February 20th, 2017, 8:37 amby hot nuts
chitown fanatic wrote:eagerly awaiting the hacksaw update. the only sure thing in st Louis is no play in teams will win
I'll wager you that at least half of them win on Thursday.
Re: Arch madness seeding
Posted:
February 20th, 2017, 9:38 amby Hacksaw
The final 1,024 scenarios:
Re: Arch madness seeding
Posted:
February 21st, 2017, 11:22 amby Hacksaw
Tonight's WSU-UE game has some small seeding implications on a few more teams than just those involved.
With a WSU win:
*Evansville is eliminated from the #6 seed (previously 0.5% chance weighted, 4.7% unweighted), and locked into Thursday night
*Bradley is eliminated from the #6 seed (previously 0.3% chance weighted, 2.3% unweighted), and locked into Thursday night
*Missouri State is eliminated from the #7 seed (previously 0.8% chance weighted, 5.5% unweighted), and locked into Friday
*Loyola is eliminated from the #8 seed (previously 0.1% chance weighted, 3.1% unweighted)
*Drake and Loyola would be the only possible remaining Thursday-Friday flip (3.6% weighted chance, 12.5% unweighted) if Drake beats Loyola, Drake beats Bradley, and SIU beats Loyola
With a UE win:
*No teams are eliminated from potential seeds that are a current possibility, however many odds will change drastically due to the expected rarity of this outcome
