BuBrave2006 wrote:Does this take into account potential changing of RPI tiebreaker? Consider the following scenario:
Bradley's current RPI is 226 and Missouri St's is 208. Assume Bradley goes 2-0 (Mo St and @Drake) and Missouri St goes 0-2 (@Bradley and Wichita). Both teams would finish 7-11 and would split the season series. If this scenario plays out, both teams would tie for 6th (likely would be the only teams at 7-11). I don't know enough about RPI to know that if it played out like this would make enough of a difference for Bradley to leapfrog Missouri St, but I would think it would be possible.
This does take into account shifts in RPI, but no more so than what is projected from rpiforecast.com. According to that site, Bradley with two wins would be around a 224, and MSU with two losses would be around a 216. The projected RPI's I use for the scenarios are listed below. I suppose I could further sensitize RPI's in a range around those projections, but currently do not. uniftw is correct, there probably is a chance, but its quite small.