ahunte1 wrote:TheAsianSensation wrote:I'm going to be interested to see if Tier 1 games played is a cited statistic for the committee. We all know wins and records will be, but I wonder if games played becomes a secondary measurement for non-con SoS.
Wouldn't that be tremendously unfair to mid-majors? If so, I am guessing they will use that as needed to justify keeping us out.
It's pretty close to a zero-sum situation. Now, it's still early to rely on the numbers, but using RPIForecast's numbers, there's a very dominant mix of P6 schools projected to be ranked 31-50 (games that fall out of Tier 1) while there's a more eclectic mix of teams from 51-70. Most mid-majors should gain an away game in Tier 1, on average.
This year should help out the MVC. I don't think LUC, MSU, or Valpo can reach top 50, but they have a fighting chance at 70.
Just to illustrate the point, Palm (oy, that guy) did do a nice breakdown of the changes for bubble teams. The conclusion seems to be that there's no systematic bias for or against the P6 and mid-majors with the new system, with the notable exception of 2016 Monmouth, one of the greatest crimes of the 21st century.
https://www.cbssports.com/college-baske ... ges-teams/
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