2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby usmcsaluki » February 15th, 2018, 6:31 pm

VUGrad1314 wrote:I thought Syracuse also did it once behind incredibly hot shooting from Jerry McNamara.


I believe you're right
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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby TheAsianSensation » February 15th, 2018, 6:57 pm

Syracuse did 4 in 4 days to win a Big East title, sandwiched around Boeheim's pseudo-love letter to McNamara in a presser.

Kemba with UConn did 5 in 5 days, but given that the first one was DePaul...was that REALLY 5 in 5 days? ;)
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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby chitown fanatic » February 16th, 2018, 8:34 am

Here's how I'm hoping it pans out:
1)Loyola- 15-3 . Need them to win out
2)SIU- also would love it if they won out
3)The Drake 10-8- need them to lose 2 of 3(roadies only)
4)ISU 9-9
5)bears 9-9
6)BU 9-9 (this works out as a push for my bet with cpac and the night session I crave)
7-10 I don't care as long as BU is not in this bunch ever again.
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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby BCPanther » February 16th, 2018, 8:45 am

Hell of a lot easier to beat teams that know they're in the tournament and coasting thru a league tournament than when you've got 10 very similar programs that know each other the way the Valley does fighting for one bid.
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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby Hrtnfldhse » February 18th, 2018, 12:43 pm

BCPanther wrote:Hell of a lot easier to beat teams that know they're in the tournament and coasting thru a league tournament than when you've got 10 very similar programs that know each other the way the Valley does fighting for one bid.

So true. Teams fighting for the only spot is a completely different animal
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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby musiccitybulldog » February 18th, 2018, 3:51 pm

Ben Jacobsen knows how to play the tournament, good at it.
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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby ISUSOX13 » February 18th, 2018, 5:28 pm

With Drake's victory, I think it will end up looking like this.

1. Loyola
2. SIU
3. Drake
4. ISU
5. Bradley
6. Missouri State
7 and 8 Evansville/Indiana State
9 and 10 UNI/Valpo
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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby Hacksaw » February 18th, 2018, 5:29 pm

The final 1,024 scenarios (unweighted):
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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby Hacksaw » February 18th, 2018, 5:29 pm

Weighted scenarios:
Image
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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby bufan42 » February 18th, 2018, 7:09 pm

chitown fanatic wrote:Here's how I'm hoping it pans out:
1)Loyola- 15-3 . Need them to win out
2)SIU- also would love it if they won out
3)The Drake 10-8- need them to lose 2 of 3(roadies only)
4)ISU 9-9
5)bears 9-9
6)BU 9-9 (this works out as a push for my bet with cpac and the night session I crave)
7-10 I don't care as long as BU is not in this bunch ever again.


Bradley would
Not be the 6 seed under these circumstances. Missouri State would as ISU swept them.
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