2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Discuss the MVC hoops season here.

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby MSUDuo » January 31st, 2018, 3:21 pm

Can we get this updated after tonight?
User avatar
MSUDuo
MVCfans.com
MVCfans.com
 
Posts: 1227
Joined: August 5th, 2010, 7:49 pm

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Sponsor

Sponsor
 

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby TSmithBJJ » January 31st, 2018, 3:25 pm

MSUDuo wrote:Can we get this updated after tonight?




YES, PLEASE!!!
BJJ, Muay Thai, and MMA.... (and MVC basketball).
TSmithBJJ
MVC Bench Warmer
MVC Bench Warmer
 
Posts: 37
Joined: February 4th, 2017, 10:08 pm
Location: St. Louis, MO

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby Hacksaw » February 1st, 2018, 11:20 am

With 7 games to go, here are the simulation results:
Image
Hacksaw
MVC Valued Member
MVC Valued Member
 
Posts: 72
Joined: August 10th, 2010, 9:47 am

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby BirdsEyeView » February 1st, 2018, 11:29 am

Hacksaw wrote:With 7 games to go, here are the simulation results:
Image


Thank you!

Right now, the 4 Illinois schools showcase seeds #1-4!!!
BirdsEyeView
MVC Hall Of Famer
MVC Hall Of Famer
 
Posts: 1391
Joined: February 28th, 2014, 12:51 pm

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby Hacksaw » February 1st, 2018, 11:29 am

Thursday odds per team based on win count:
Image

Expected seed based on win count:
Image
7-11 is a near lock for Thursday
8-10 is a 71% chance for a Thursday game
9-9 is a 90% chance to avoid Thursday
Hacksaw
MVC Valued Member
MVC Valued Member
 
Posts: 72
Joined: August 10th, 2010, 9:47 am

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby Hacksaw » February 1st, 2018, 11:43 am

Not sure if people care this much, but with such parity in the league this year, I find these team by team charts quite interesting:

Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
Hacksaw
MVC Valued Member
MVC Valued Member
 
Posts: 72
Joined: August 10th, 2010, 9:47 am

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby Old School MVC » February 1st, 2018, 11:59 am

Hacksaw wrote:With 7 games to go, here are the simulation results:
Image


THANK YOU SO MUCH Hacksaw!!! You don't know how much we all love this!!

One thing I take from this is that I find it kind of amazing that Bradley, who is in 2nd place, has a 5.7% chance to win the Valley, and a 5.4% chance of playing on Thursday. This will be a fun and exciting month of February!
Old School MVC
MVC Role Player
MVC Role Player
 
Posts: 152
Joined: October 3rd, 2016, 6:19 pm

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby Rambler63 » February 1st, 2018, 12:23 pm

BirdsEyeView wrote:Right now, the 4 Illinois schools showcase seeds #1-4!!!


Wait, I was told that too many Illinois schools was the problem...
User avatar
Rambler63
MVC starter
MVC starter
 
Posts: 277
Joined: May 4th, 2013, 3:25 pm
Location: Normal, IL

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby TSmithBJJ » February 1st, 2018, 12:32 pm

Hacksaw wrote:With 7 games to go, here are the simulation results:
Image



The 4 Illinois teams are representing this year!
BJJ, Muay Thai, and MMA.... (and MVC basketball).
TSmithBJJ
MVC Bench Warmer
MVC Bench Warmer
 
Posts: 37
Joined: February 4th, 2017, 10:08 pm
Location: St. Louis, MO

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby MissouriValleyUnite » February 1st, 2018, 12:38 pm

Rambler63 wrote:
BirdsEyeView wrote:Right now, the 4 Illinois schools showcase seeds #1-4!!!


Wait, I was told that too many Illinois schools was the problem...


My favorite was when those posts would come from fake (and now inactive) accounts like ‘Make MVC Great Again’ yet would be copy/pasted from a certain team’s board.
User avatar
MissouriValleyUnite
MVC starter
MVC starter
 
Posts: 372
Joined: February 10th, 2014, 9:59 am

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby Old School MVC » February 1st, 2018, 1:37 pm

Isn't it nice not having to put up with the old arrogant fan base from the past!! :buddies:
Old School MVC
MVC Role Player
MVC Role Player
 
Posts: 152
Joined: October 3rd, 2016, 6:19 pm

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

Postby SalukiHoops » February 1st, 2018, 11:08 pm

BirdsEyeView wrote:
Hacksaw wrote:With 7 games to go, here are the simulation results:
Image


Thank you!

Right now, the 4 Illinois schools showcase seeds #1-4!!!


Also if you didnt know, those 4 that lead the MVC are also 1-4 in Illinois in RPI! Some good Valley basketball this year from the boys in the Prairie State.
SalukiHoops
User avatar
SalukiHoops
MVC Bench Warmer
MVC Bench Warmer
 
Posts: 65
Joined: January 8th, 2017, 10:52 pm
Location: West Frankfort, IL

PreviousNext

Return to Missouri Valley Conference Basketball

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bear4Life, dabirds0987 and 11 guests