2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

[MSUDuo]

Can we get this updated after tonight?

[TSmithBJJ]

Can we get this updated after tonight?

YES, PLEASE!!!

[Hacksaw]

With 7 games to go, here are the simulation results:

[BirdsEyeView]

With 7 games to go, here are the simulation results:

Thank you!

Right now, the 4 Illinois schools showcase seeds #1-4!!!

[Hacksaw]

Thursday odds per team based on win count:


Expected seed based on win count:

7-11 is a near lock for Thursday
8-10 is a 71% chance for a Thursday game
9-9 is a 90% chance to avoid Thursday

[Hacksaw]

Not sure if people care this much, but with such parity in the league this year, I find these team by team charts quite interesting:

[Old School MVC]

With 7 games to go, here are the simulation results:

THANK YOU SO MUCH Hacksaw!!! You don't know how much we all love this!!

One thing I take from this is that I find it kind of amazing that Bradley, who is in 2nd place, has a 5.7% chance to win the Valley, and a 5.4% chance of playing on Thursday. This will be a fun and exciting month of February!

[Rambler63]

Right now, the 4 Illinois schools showcase seeds #1-4!!!

Wait, I was told that too many Illinois schools was the problem...

[TSmithBJJ]

With 7 games to go, here are the simulation results:

The 4 Illinois teams are representing this year!

[MissouriValleyUnite]

Right now, the 4 Illinois schools showcase seeds #1-4!!!

Wait, I was told that too many Illinois schools was the problem...

My favorite was when those posts would come from fake (and now inactive) accounts like ‘Make MVC Great Again’ yet would be copy/pasted from a certain team’s board.