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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Posted:
February 12th, 2018, 1:56 pm
by Adunk33
Hacksaw wrote:Weighted seeding odds:
Do these seedings take into account injuries?
Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Posted:
February 12th, 2018, 2:43 pm
by BirdsEyeView
I can't believe we are favored 70/30 over Drake without Evans and Fayne
Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Posted:
February 12th, 2018, 3:24 pm
by Hacksaw
Adunk33 wrote:
Do these seedings take into account injuries?
The odds are based off of Sagarin's Predictor ratings. To my knowledge, there is no account of injuries in these ratings.
Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Posted:
February 12th, 2018, 4:15 pm
by pafan
Hacksaw is correct. PREDICTOR does use any data about rosters, such as injuries, suspensions, players facing bench warrants, etc.
Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Posted:
February 12th, 2018, 5:33 pm
by Adunk33
Hacksaw wrote:Adunk33 wrote:
Do these seedings take into account injuries?
The odds are based off of Sagarin's Predictor ratings. To my knowledge, there is no account of injuries in these ratings.
Thank you
Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Posted:
February 14th, 2018, 8:39 am
by Redbird Recon
pafan wrote:Hacksaw is correct. PREDICTOR does use any data about rosters, such as injuries, suspensions, players facing bench warrants, etc.
Solid troll.
Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Posted:
February 14th, 2018, 12:46 pm
by TSmithBJJ
Evansville the slight favorite in the SIU @ Evansville... I know they're a good team when they play at home, but I'll definitely have to pick the underdog in this matchup.
Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Posted:
February 15th, 2018, 8:46 am
by Hacksaw
The final 32,768 scenarios (unweighted):
Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Posted:
February 15th, 2018, 8:46 am
by Hacksaw
Weighted scenarios:
Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities
Posted:
February 15th, 2018, 9:00 am
by BirdsEyeView
Congrats to Drake on avoiding Drake night for the first time in YEARS!