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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 12th, 2018, 5:33 pm
by Adunk33
Hacksaw wrote:
Adunk33 wrote:
Do these seedings take into account injuries?


The odds are based off of Sagarin's Predictor ratings. To my knowledge, there is no account of injuries in these ratings.


Thank you

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 14th, 2018, 8:39 am
by Redbird Recon
pafan wrote:Hacksaw is correct. PREDICTOR does use any data about rosters, such as injuries, suspensions, players facing bench warrants, etc.

Solid troll.
:Cheers:

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 14th, 2018, 12:46 pm
by TSmithBJJ
Evansville the slight favorite in the SIU @ Evansville... I know they're a good team when they play at home, but I'll definitely have to pick the underdog in this matchup.

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 15th, 2018, 8:46 am
by Hacksaw
The final 32,768 scenarios (unweighted):
Image

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 15th, 2018, 8:46 am
by Hacksaw
Weighted scenarios:
Image

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 15th, 2018, 9:00 am
by BirdsEyeView
Congrats to Drake on avoiding Drake night for the first time in YEARS!

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 15th, 2018, 9:07 am
by lime
BirdsEyeView wrote:Congrats to Drake on avoiding Drake night for the first time in YEARS!


it's 99.9% but not guaranteed yet.

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 15th, 2018, 10:19 am
by BuBrave2006
A Thursday potentially without Drake or Bradley? How long has that been?

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 15th, 2018, 10:30 am
by pafan
We've had Drake night for 9 consecutive years.

The 10th year (2008) was Keno's year at Drake, seeding them first, and Bradley was seeded 5th that year. So there's your answer.

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 15th, 2018, 11:32 am
by ThisIsTheLineup
BuBrave2006 wrote:A Thursday potentially without Drake or Bradley? How long has that been?


2010....it's been a while!