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Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 19th, 2018, 10:26 am
by chitown fanatic
bufan42 wrote:
chitown fanatic wrote:Here's how I'm hoping it pans out:
1)Loyola- 15-3 . Need them to win out
2)SIU- also would love it if they won out
3)The Drake 10-8- need them to lose 2 of 3(roadies only)
4)ISU 9-9
5)bears 9-9
6)BU 9-9 (this works out as a push for my bet with cpac and the night session I crave)
7-10 I don't care as long as BU is not in this bunch ever again.


Bradley would
Not be the 6 seed under these circumstances. Missouri State would as ISU swept them.


You are correct. I didn't realize ISU swept them. Now the only path to the 6 is to lose out, mo st win out, and Evansville lose once. Looking like a matinee vs the birds that will either make or destroy my weekend, especially since it now looks like I'm paying cpac.

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 19th, 2018, 10:21 pm
by cpacmel
chitown fanatic wrote:Looking like a matinee vs the birds that will either make or destroy my weekend, especially since it now looks like I'm paying cpac.


Can I play the injury card? :Violin:

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 19th, 2018, 10:31 pm
by bufan42
chitown fanatic wrote:
bufan42 wrote:
chitown fanatic wrote:Here's how I'm hoping it pans out:
1)Loyola- 15-3 . Need them to win out
2)SIU- also would love it if they won out
3)The Drake 10-8- need them to lose 2 of 3(roadies only)
4)ISU 9-9
5)bears 9-9
6)BU 9-9 (this works out as a push for my bet with cpac and the night session I crave)
7-10 I don't care as long as BU is not in this bunch ever again.


Bradley would
Not be the 6 seed under these circumstances. Missouri State would as ISU swept them.


You are correct. I didn't realize ISU swept them. Now the only path to the 6 is to lose out, mo st win out, and Evansville lose once. Looking like a matinee vs the birds that will either make or destroy my weekend, especially since it now looks like I'm paying cpac.


My prognostications have drake with 11 wins in 3rd

ISU with 10 in 4th

MO State with 9 wins in 5th.

BU with 9 wins in 6th getting edged out in the rpi tiebreaker.


Crazy to think we all have 2 games to go and so much is still up in the air

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 20th, 2018, 9:27 am
by ThisIsTheLineup
Some stats I pulled up:

Friday games record by seeding (Since 2000)
1 seed - 18-0
2 seed - 18-0
3 seed - 11-7
4 seed - 13-5
5 seed - 5-13
6 seed - 7-11

The three seed has not won on Friday since 2012.

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 20th, 2018, 12:11 pm
by Hrtnfldhse
ThisIsTheLineup wrote:Some stats I pulled up:

Friday games record by seeding (Since 2000)
1 seed - 18-0
2 seed - 18-0
3 seed - 11-7
4 seed - 13-5
5 seed - 5-13
6 seed - 7-11

The three seed has not won on Friday since 2012.


Don't be the 3 seed

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 20th, 2018, 12:40 pm
by Redbirds4Life
Hrtnfldhse wrote:
ThisIsTheLineup wrote:Some stats I pulled up:

Friday games record by seeding (Since 2000)
1 seed - 18-0
2 seed - 18-0
3 seed - 11-7
4 seed - 13-5
5 seed - 5-13
6 seed - 7-11

The three seed has not won on Friday since 2012.


Don't be the 3 seed


Even though the 3 seed has done worse since 2000 in the MVC tournament, I think in this particular season, I want that 3 seed. I think you would be better off seeing SIU in the semi-finals, rather than Loyola.

Selfishly, I really want Bradley in the quarter-finals.

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 20th, 2018, 1:19 pm
by Hrtnfldhse
Redbirds4Life wrote:
Hrtnfldhse wrote:
ThisIsTheLineup wrote:Some stats I pulled up:

Friday games record by seeding (Since 2000)
1 seed - 18-0
2 seed - 18-0
3 seed - 11-7
4 seed - 13-5
5 seed - 5-13
6 seed - 7-11

The three seed has not won on Friday since 2012.


Don't be the 3 seed


Even though the 3 seed has done worse since 2000 in the MVC tournament, I think in this particular season, I want that 3 seed. I think you would be better off seeing SIU in the semi-finals, rather than Loyola.

Selfishly, I really want Bradley in the quarter-finals.

Yes, I would rather be on the 2/3 side than Loyola's side.

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 20th, 2018, 2:46 pm
by BuBrave2006
I would LOVE if it ended up

Loyola
Southern
Drake
ISUr
MSU
Bradley
(7-10)

I wouldn't be thrilled facing Drake but if you put Loyola, ISUr and Missouri St all on the other side, i'll take my chances with whoever you throw in front of us.

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 20th, 2018, 3:12 pm
by chitown fanatic
BuBrave2006 wrote:I would LOVE if it ended up

Loyola
Southern
Drake
ISUr
MSU
Bradley
(7-10)

I wouldn't be thrilled facing Drake but if you put Loyola, ISUr and Missouri St all on the other side, i'll take my chances with whoever you throw in front of us.


This. Word for word. sadly, it will be the matinee as although we will beat the trees who have nothing to play for...lusk wont beat uni at their place.

Re: 2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

PostPosted: February 20th, 2018, 3:16 pm
by pauly
bufan42 wrote:
My prognostications have drake with 11 wins in 3rd

ISU with 10 in 4th

MO State with 9 wins in 5th.

BU with 9 wins in 6th getting edged out in the rpi tiebreaker.


Crazy to think we all have 2 games to go and so much is still up in the air


I think in this scenario Bradley still gets the 5th seed, as I think they will still have a higher RPI(probably), right now they are about 10 slots higher than MO State. I think the only way Bradley ends in the 6th spot is with two losses.