2018 Arch Madness Seeding Probabilities

[BirdsEyeView]

This is depressing.....Dirty Dan and the boys need to figure it out quick

Depressing - yes. Surprising - no.

Hacksaw, love these you do. Appreciate it!

Regardless of the early injuries and the ineligibility of Copeland I am surprised that
half way through the year the Redbirds are playing this bad.

I thought they would be better on offense but how bad they are on defense
is shocking for a Muller coached team!

I agree, but I am not surprised after the past few games.

[bleach]

The way I read the chart, the Bears SHOULD finish top 3.
Watch how far that drops as the season winds down. Lusk teams always get worse as the season ends.

[MSUDuo]

Can we get this updated after tonight?

[TSmithBJJ]

Can we get this updated after tonight?

YES, PLEASE!!!

[Hacksaw]

With 7 games to go, here are the simulation results:

[BirdsEyeView]

With 7 games to go, here are the simulation results:

Thank you!

Right now, the 4 Illinois schools showcase seeds #1-4!!!

[Hacksaw]

Thursday odds per team based on win count:


Expected seed based on win count:

7-11 is a near lock for Thursday
8-10 is a 71% chance for a Thursday game
9-9 is a 90% chance to avoid Thursday

[Hacksaw]

Not sure if people care this much, but with such parity in the league this year, I find these team by team charts quite interesting:

[Old School MVC]

With 7 games to go, here are the simulation results:

THANK YOU SO MUCH Hacksaw!!! You don't know how much we all love this!!

One thing I take from this is that I find it kind of amazing that Bradley, who is in 2nd place, has a 5.7% chance to win the Valley, and a 5.4% chance of playing on Thursday. This will be a fun and exciting month of February!

[Rambler63]

Right now, the 4 Illinois schools showcase seeds #1-4!!!

Wait, I was told that too many Illinois schools was the problem...